Ravens switch to patron saint of receptions Alvin Kamara
It’s been almost eight years since New Orleans Saints quarterback Andy Dalton won as the starting quarterback on “Monday Night Football.” The Red Rifle has repeatedly jammed in primetime games — most recently, 18 days ago, when he threw a pair of pick-sixers that led to a 42-34 loss to the Cardinals and also fueled the Twitter meme machine. Dalton will look to take inspiration from Taylor Swift on Monday night and shake off his past as the Saints host the Baltimore Ravens. If New Orleans wins, they will move into a 4-5 logjam atop the NFC South. If they lose, the prime-time Dalton discourse will continue and the Ravens will inch ahead of the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC North. Here are three player props from BetMGM that I like in tonight’s game:
Alvin Kamara over 4.5 receptions (-135)
Over on this prop has paid off like a hacked ATM since Dalton became New Orleans’ starter. Kamara is averaging 8.5 targets and seven receptions per game with Dalton under center, catching at least six balls in each contest. Baltimore gives up the fifth most receptions per game to running backs (6.25). Regardless of the game script, Kamara will get receptions.
Devin Duvernay longest reception over 19.5 yards (-110)
Baltimore’s cache of offensive weapons is beginning to resemble that of the Papal Swiss Guard. Running backs JK Dobbins and Gus Edwards are on the shelf tonight, along with tight end Mark Andrews and wide receiver Rashod Bateman, who are out for the season. Fortunately for the Ravens, Duvernay has flashed for them since the beginning of the season. He has hit that mark in six of eight games and will match a Saints defense that ranks 25th in dropback success rate and will be without the services of top cornerback Marshon Lattimore.
Justin Tucker over 1.5 field goals made (-145)
New Orleans’ red zone defense ranks seventh in the league, allowing a touchdown on just 50% of red zone possessions. Baltimore’s red zone offense ranks 15th, finding the end zone 56.7% of the time after crossing the opponent’s 20-yard line. Tucker is the best kicker in NFL history and has collected this accolade in his last five games.
Statistics provided by Pro Football Reference, teamrankings.com and rbsdm.com (garbage time removed).